Climatic factors that should lead to a bear market in coffee futures & Will there be a frost in Brazil?

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“Climatic factors that should lead to a bear market in coffee futures & Will there be a frost in Brazil?”
by Jim Roemer - Meteorologist - Commodity Trading Advisor - Principal, Best Weather Inc. & Climate Predict - Publisher, Weather Wealth Newsletter
Scott Mathews, Editor
- Weekend Report: May 30 - June 1, 2025

This 9+ minute video is a very detailed discussion sent out to WeatherWealth newsletter subscribers last weekend (Sunday Night/Monday morning) before the collapse in coffee prices.
Also, this video highlights how I predicted, back in April, a potential longer-term bear market in coffee futures.
To View Video > > > > > P L E A S E C L I C K H E R E
1) Where Robusta coffee (cheaper variety that is made into instant coffee) is grown and why production this year will be greater than a year ago. This has created a spiral down in futures contracts traded on the London exchange.

Table and Graphic Image Source: coffeex.com in conjunction with ncausa.org (National Coffee Association) - used by permission
2)

Image Source: graphs by NOAA - superimposed comments/markers by BestWeather, Inc.
3) How we use the weather over Antarctica to forecast if Brazil'a coffee freezes (or not)

Source of above images showing South Pole projection map and Antarctic Oscillation graph: StormVistaWxModels.com (used by permission) - superimposed arrows and captions by BestWeather, Inc.
4) Will El Niño neutral become a weak La Niña by the autumn. If so, how may it affect rainfall for Brazil's important 2026 crop and coffee bloom in October?

Image Source: NOAA

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Thanks for your interest in commodity weather!
Jim Roemer, Scott Mathews and the BestWeather Team
Mr. Roemer owns Best Weather Inc., offering weather-related blogs for commodity traders and farmers. He also is a co-founder of Climate Predict, a detailed long-range global weather forecast tool. As one of the first meteorologists to become an NFA registered Commodity Trading Advisor, he has worked with major hedge funds, Midwest farmers, and individual traders for over 35 years. With a special emphasis on interpreting market psychology, coupled with his short and long-term trend forecasting in grains, softs, and the energy markets, he commands a unique standing among advisors in the commodity risk management industry.